Natural Gas and the State of the Union

In his latest State of the Union address, President Obama announced that:

We have a supply of natural gas that can last America nearly 100 years… The development of natural gas will create jobs and power trucks and factories that are cleaner and cheaper, proving that we don’t have to choose between our environment and our economy. And, by the way, it was public research dollars — over the course of 30 years — that helped develop the technologies to extract all this natural gas out of shale rock, reminding us that government support is critical in helping businesses get new energy ideas off the ground… Our experience with shale gas, our experience with natural gas, shows us that the payoffs on these public investments don’t always come right away. Some technologies don’t pan out; some companies fail. But I will not walk away from the promise of clean energy.

In addition to upsetting those concerned about the dangers of hydraulic fracturing, this part of his speech has also provoked criticism for “exaggerating” the role of the federal government in fostering the emergence of the natural gas boom.

For instance, a US News and World Report article entitled “Obama Exaggerates Role of Federal Government in Natural Gas Boom“ by Daniel Kish, senior vice president for policy at the Institute for Energy Research, asserts:

The president’s claim that the federal government helped create the hydraulic fracturing boom is specious at best.

However, even a cursory look at the historical record reveals that the government’s role in oil and gas technologies generally and hydraulic fracturing related technologies specifically is far more involved and complex than acknowledged by Kish’s article. For instance, despite his claims to the contrary, the government played an important role at many points in the last 30 years, including in the case of Mitchell Energy. According to one recent article:

Mitchell Energy’s first horizontal well was subsidized by the federal government, according to former geologist and Vice President for Mitchell. “They did a hell of a lot of work,” said Steward, “and I can’t give them enough credit for that. DOE started it, and other people took the ball and ran with it. You cannot diminish DOE’s involvement.”

Rather than an isolated example, this vignette is indicative of the substantial role played by the government in a variety of oil and gas technologies, many related to hydraulic fracturing as it is now practiced. This is not to say that private organizations have not played a vital role as well. My point is not declare a winner between the government agencies and private industry , but simply to point out that any thoughtful consideration of the record will show that both private organizations and government agencies were significantly involved in the process over a large period of time.

Further, on top of its direct involvement in technology research (such as through the Department of Energy), a reasonable accounting of the government’s role would also consider the role of tax incentives (without which operators such as Mitchell would have been unlikely to have drilled wells), the role of favorable regulations such as the Energy Policy Act of 2005 (without which operators would not be exempt from the liabilities of hydraulic fracturing), and the important role played by agencies such as the EIA and USGS in quantifying available reserves (without which operators would have difficulty raising the capital necessary for drilling).

In short, consistent with President Obama’s claims, and contrary to the assertions of US News and World Report, it is difficult to conceive of the oil and gas industry as we now know it without significant support and involvement by the US government.

S&P 500 Historical Constituents Revisited

One of my most popular posts over the past year was on S&P 500 Historical Constituents.

Apparently, I am not the only one to have had trouble finding data on the historical constituents of the S&P 500 index. In fact, several readers have even asked me to share a copy of my file with them. Alas, licensing restrictions prevent me from doing so.

Recently, however, one of my readers shared the following website with me: s-p-500.com. It has a list of S&P index changes for 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010 and 2011. If you find other useful websites, please let me know so that I can share them with interested readers.

Good Work

A colleague recently forwarded these words to me, which are written in the Tao Te Ching and attributed to Lao Tzu:

Fill your cup to the brim
And it will spill.

Keep sharpening the knife
And will become blunt.

Chase after money and security
And your heart will never unclench.

Seek the approval of others
And you will become their prisoner.

Do your work, and then step back.
That is the only way to serenity.

Climategate Paper in the Top 10 Again

This week I received an email from SSRN informing me that my paper with Raghu Garud entitled “Procrustean Transformations: Climategate, Scientific Controversies and Hope“ was a top ten download in the Corporate Governance Network, within the Corporate Governance & Sociology or Psychology eJournal for the second month in a row.

Buehler 2008 Napa Cab

Buehler Vineyards Napa Valley Cabernet SauvignonThe first time I had the Buehler Vineyards Napa Valley Cabernet Sauvignon was the 2001 vintage, an excellent year for Napa Cabs. Wine Spectator gave the 2001 Buehler 91 points, and said it would drink until 2012. Our case is long gone, so I can neither confirm nor deny this prediction. I remember it as a solid wine — not on par with some of my favorite reasonably priced cabs like Chappellet and Whitehall Lane, but very enjoyable just the same.

Buehler is a relatively small producer — typical production is only a couple thousand cases. And so, for whatever reasons, I just haven’t come across it since. Then about a week ago I received an email that the 2008, another great California Cab vintage, was on special at WineShopper for $15.99. In August 2011, Robert Parker gave it 90 points:

A real steal and one of the greatest sleepers I have tasted from Napa (the Mecca for expensive Cabernet Sauvignons) is Buehler’s 2008 Cabernet Sauvignon from their vineyards in Napa Valley. There are only 1,800 cases of this 100% Cabernet Sauvignon, so this offering is likely to disappear quickly from the marketplace. It offers a dark ruby/purple-tinged color, abundant black currant, licorice and smoky tobacco leaf characteristics, medium to full body, a supple, velvety style and impressive purity, texture and length. Consume it over the next 10+ years.

As I recall I paid more than $16 ten years ago! So I figured I’d pick up half a case and re-acquaint myself. All I can say is wow! This is a terrific wine for the money. I should have bought a case. If you can find some, give it a try.

Citing Bathroom Poetry

 I’m analyzing poetry for my ‘Punk Literature’ seminar. Using MLA style, how do I cite a limerick scribbled in the third-floor toilet?

This epigraph was taken from a recent article in the Chronicle of Higher Education arguing that professors need to get over their citation obsession. Instead of being driven by “plagiarism hysteria,” which emphasizes and punishes improper citation, the article points to research and recommendations by the Citation Project suggesting that professors should instead emphasize and reward student engagement with the use of words and ideas.

Congressional Committee Sizes

In today’s New York Times, Tom Friedman writes:

Our Congress today is a forum for legalized bribery. One consumer group using information from Opensecrets.org calculates that the financial services industry, including real estate, spent $2.3 billion on federal campaign contributions from 1990 to 2010, which was more than the health care, energy, defense, agriculture and transportation industries combined. Why are there 61 members on the House Committee on Financial Services? So many congressmen want to be in a position to sell votes to Wall Street.

What an interesting proposition: The size of a Congressional committee will be directly related to the availability of campaign contributions and lobbyists. Growing (shrinking) committees are related to increased (decreased) campaign contributions and lobbyists.

This same logic suggests that: The total number of committees and committee memberships will likewise be directly related to the availability of outside funding. As total spending on contributions and lobbyists goes up (down) the number of committees and committee memberships with increase (decrease).

To follow the money, simply follow the ebb and flow of Congressional committees over time. Taken together the propositions above suggest that Congress functions like a market, and not a ballot box.